Monday 24 October 2016

Diwali picks - 2016

  1. Generally I select good companies for Diwali picks, which has limited downside from the current market price just take a look my previous Diwali picks.


DIWALI PICKS 2014


1. Spicejet @ 14
2. Meghmani organics@ 15
3. NHPC@ 18
Which gave more than 200% returns in 2 years.

DIWALI PICKS 2015

1. Kanoria chemicals@ 60
2. Banco products @120
3. Indiabulls realestate @50

Over all return at 71% as on 24-oct-2016.

DIWALI PICKS 2016

For this Diwali i recommend to BUY
1.Uflex ltd@ 320
2. Genus power and infrastructure@ 50
3. Talwalkars fitness@ 260

This stocks will become Multibagger in future, buy with 3-5 years horizon, will share other details about the companies later. Stay tuned.
HAPPY DIWALI IN ADVANCE... 

My views are personal, do your own research before invest in any stock.


Sunday 23 October 2016

Star paper mills : The dark horse




Company information

Star Paper Mills is engaged in manufacturing of paper and paper related products. Incorporated in 1938, the company is part of Duncan Goenka Group.
Star Paper has received ISO 9001:2000 and ISO 14001:2004 certifications for its quality management.
To produce its raw material, the company owns 34983 hectare on which 270 lakhs saplings have been grown spread across seven  districts of western Uttar Pradesh and two districts of Uttranchal.
Star Paper Mills produces range of products used in industrial, packaging and cultural papers catering to almost all segments of consumers.
The company has an installed manufacturing capacity of 75,000 tonnes per annum of paper and paperboard.
The company has a pan–India presence through 50 dealers. Its clients include Century, Laminating, Eveready, Greenply, Thomson Press, Hindustan Lever, ITC, Pearson Education (Singapore), Shree Krishna Paper and Thomson Press, among others
Products
The company produces a wide range of papers such as SS Maplitho White/Natural Shade, Greeting Paper, Kraft Paper, Padding Paper, MG Poster, Stiffner Cover, Cartridge Paper, Azurelaid and many more.
These products have application in paper printing, lottery printing, computer stationery, book printing, packaging various products, Defence/Ammunition Packing and many more.
Awards
Star Paper Mills has received the Greentech Award in Environmental Excellence in November 2005 and Greentech Award for safety in paper industries in April 2005.
As a token of appreciation for its energy conservation initiatives the company has received a Certificate of Merit from the Indian Paper Manufacturers Association

Stock ratios (based on latest quarter F17Q1 numbers)

Return on equity: 29.77%

Return on capital employed: 54.18%

Interest Coverage: ₹ 13.65

Net Profit latest quarter: ₹ 12.76 Cr.

NPM latest quarter: 17.06%

NPM last year: 6.06%

Debt to equity: 0.10


Outlook
Star Paper Mills at current market price 129 trading on P/E of 8 weather it's peers trade at P/E of 12-20.
in FY17Q1 it posted eps of 8.18. company has been reduced debt and now virtuallty debt free and available at attractive valuations.
if in next three quarters id it posts the numbers like Q1. then with annual eps around 32 and if traded at p/e of 10 then 32*10 320 is the reasonable Target price for star paper mills in time-frame of one year from now. and if it keeps the permanence continue then it will be proven as compounder in future.
so i recommend buy star paper mills @129 for target of 200-220 in 6 months 320 in one year and 500-600 in next 3-5 years.


My views are personal do your own homework before invest.

Century Enka : hidden gem buy for multi-bagger returns in long term.

About company

Cenury Enka Limited (CEL) is part of B.K. Birla group of companies, Established in 1965.
CEL has two manufacturing sites, located at Pune (Maharashtra) and Rajashree Nagar (Bharuch - Gujrat). The unit at Rajashree Nagar site is known as Rajashree Polyfil.
The products manufactured by Century Enka Limited are Polyester Filament Yarn, Nylon Filament Yarn, Polyester POY, Polyester and Nylon Chips of industrial and fabric grade and Nylon Industrial Yarn and Nylon Tyre Cord Fabrics.


Products Installed Capacity 
Polymer / Chips146000*
Synthetic Filament Yarn (Including Industrial Yarn)125200**
Tyre Cord Fabric22000
* Including for captive consumption for Synthetic Filament Yarn 127400 MT
** Including for captive consumption for Tyre Cord Fabric 22000 MT

Outlook

Good points about company are: 

- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is virtually debt free.
- Stock is trading at 0.83 times its book value
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 6 rps/share.

Take a look on ratios : 

>Return on equity: 8.71%                                   >Return on capital employed: 11.91%
>Net Profit latest quarter: ₹ 22.50 Cr.                 >NPM latest quarter: 8.51%
>NPM last year: 5.20%          >Debt to equity: 0.09.         >Interest Coverage: ₹ 13.59

      Century Enka posted net profit of 36.5 Cr.and 59.5Cr. in fy15 and 16 respectively.From the last two quarters, remarkable improvement seen in the net profit of the company. The performance has been very good in the last two quarters. For June quarter ending, net profit went up by around 73% to 22cr, if company continue to give performance like this in fy17 net profit can come around 80 cr. and EPS around 40. and that will be called great growth.so, in my view buy century enka with longterm perspective for multibagger returns from cmp 290. i aso reco. to buy it at the level of 211 and 266 few days ago.
My views are personal do your own homework before invest.


  

Saturday 22 October 2016

Srikalahasthi pipes : value pick with great growth.

Srikalahasthi pipes formally known as Lanco Industries Limited (LIL) was incorporated on November 1, 1991 by Lanco Group of Companies to manufacture Pig Iron using Korf (German) technology and Cement. The unit is located at Rachagunneri Village on Tirupathi - Srikalahasthi road which is about 30 kms. from Tirupathi and 10 kms. from Srikalahasthi. The installed capacity of Pig Iron was 90,000 TPA and with similar capacity 90,000 TPA for cement. The operation of the cement unit of the Company was suspended for various reasons and the unit was reengineered for producing a different product mix having potential in south India.
As a measure of forward integration project for adding value to the Pig Iron manufactured by the Company, LIL floated another company named Lanco Kalahasthi Castings Limited (LKCL) on March 4, 1997 to manufacture iron castings and spun pipes in the same campus of the Company with an annual capacity of 40,000 TPA and 35,700 TPA respectively. Accordingly, LIL had an arrangement with LKCL for supply of molten iron and Pig Iron to LKCL, being a value added product, as such iron pipes manufactured by LKCL offered better returns.

Areas of Operation


Lanco is in the business of manufacturing pipes for conveying safe drinking water and other fluids for domestic and overseas markets.

For sustained growth we intend to venture into related businesses in the area of :
  • 1. Suitable horizontal and vertical      integration projects.
  • 2. Turnkey projects.
  • 3. Engineering & consultancy
  • 4. Build-own-operate-transfer projects and diversify into new areas of business including infrastructure related projects.
  • refrenece: http://www.electrosteel.com/group-companies/lanco.aspx

Outlook :
Srikalahathi pipes continue showing growth in q-o-q results from fy13. and in last 3 years it gave blockbuster numbers. div. yield also increases yoy. and investment stood at 147cr. in recent year. the ratios are as follow,

Return on equity: 43.95%

Return on capital employed: 33.26%

Interest Coverage: ₹ 6.48 

Net Profit latest quarter: ₹ 42.97 Cr.

NPM latest quarter: 15.39%

NPM last year: 13.86%.














Expansion of plant was completed in Sept. quarter in current financial year, so full capacity advantage will be coming in second half. so second half will be good and it will be post EPS above 15 from third quarter. so, from next year it will posted annual EPS above 60. and the company should be in the list of top 100 Indian companies by EPS. that times it should be on the cusp of re-rating and after completion of expansion management will start reduce debt. this point should become game changer in future. the another plus point for buy the stock at current market price is stock consolidated from last one year earnings up by 61% and stock up only 10%, so, sharp move from this level is excepted any time and in next 2-3 years it will be stable in 4 digits.
Buy srikalahasthi pipes in rannge of 300-330 for the first target of 1000 in LT. 

My views are personal do your own homework before invest.